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Kentucky coal production·closes in 20mo

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 24 million short tons?

YES means Above 24 million short tons

24h volume
0
9,262 lifetime
Open interest
655
+0 over 24h
Spread
6¢
562 × 841 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 69¢

YES bid / ask
31¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 69¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
30¢40¢50¢volSep 20, 4:42 AMSep 21, 4:40 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,05099¢
  • ask20098¢
  • ask12974¢
  • ask1,40873¢
  • ask1,05039¢
  • ask84137¢
spread6¢mid 34¢
  • bid56231¢
  • bid20330¢
  • bid14512¢
  • bid24711¢
  • bid5,0002¢
  • bid1,0501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 24 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2027 data. Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Eastern and Western Kentucky production are both included.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 30, 2028 · 1:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
24
ticker
KXKYCOAL-28APR30-T24
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago44¢92bought yes
9d ago42¢0.01bought yes
9d ago42¢170bought yes
9d ago42¢10bought yes
9d ago42¢100bought yes
9d ago41¢200bought no
9d ago41¢25bought no
9d ago41¢100bought no
9d ago42¢25bought yes
9d ago42¢190bought yes
9d ago41¢0.22bought no
10d ago42¢5bought yes
10d ago41¢0.11bought no
10d ago41¢0.11bought no
17d ago40¢500bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.