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Kentucky coal production·closes in 20mo

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 26 million short tons?

YES means Above 26 million short tons

24h volume
0
7,923 lifetime
Open interest
1,694
Spread
1¢
3,088 × 2,626 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%

A YES contract costs 23¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 23¢
NO bid / ask
77¢ / 78¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,12099¢
  • ask58298¢
  • ask875¢
  • ask2,11474¢
  • ask4473¢
  • ask20024¢
  • ask2,62623¢
spread1¢mid 22¢
  • bid3,08822¢
  • bid5018¢
  • bid1.0516¢
  • bid20015¢
  • bid2.9113¢
  • bid7512¢
  • bid806¢
  • bid1,6455¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 26 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2027 data. Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Eastern and Western Kentucky production are both included.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 18 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 30, 2028 · 1:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
26
ticker
KXKYCOAL-28APR30-T26
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago21¢0.22bought no
9d ago22¢99bought yes
9d ago18¢100bought yes
9d ago18¢25bought yes
9d ago18¢200bought yes
9d ago18¢670bought yes
10d ago18¢0.11bought yes
10d ago18¢0.11bought yes
17d ago14¢270bought no
17d ago16¢1.51bought yes
17d ago16¢499bought yes
17d ago14¢0.01bought yes
17d ago14¢3bought yes
17d ago14¢0.01bought yes
17d ago14¢250bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.