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Kentucky coal production·closes in 20mo

Will Kentucky’s total coal production for 2027 be above 30 million short tons?

YES means Above 30 million short tons

24h volume
0
628 lifetime
Open interest
64
+64 over 90d
Spread
1¢
4,182 × 7,790 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 96¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,05099¢
  • ask2198¢
  • ask20094¢
  • ask1183¢
  • ask5,00082¢
  • ask2008¢
  • ask7,7905¢
spread1¢mid 5¢
  • bid4,1824¢
  • bid3,1333¢
  • bid1,3041¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If EIA reports that Kentucky’s total coal production for calendar year 2027 is above 30 million short tons, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the Kentucky Total in EIA’s Table 2 - Coal Production by State for the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2027 data. Production is reported in thousand short tons and will be converted to million short tons by dividing by 1,000. Eastern and Western Kentucky production are both included.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 20 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 30, 2028 · 1:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 7, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
30
ticker
KXKYCOAL-28APR30-T30
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago5¢250bought yes
17d ago3¢64bought no
25d ago4¢51bought yes
28d ago3¢13bought yes
28d ago6¢25bought no
28d ago6¢25bought no
28d ago6¢100bought no
28d ago6¢50bought no
28d ago6¢50bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.