Will Lai Ching-te leave office before 2027-07-01T14:00:00.000Z?
YES means Before July 1, 2027
- 24h volume
- 0
- 10.9k lifetime
- Open interest
- 5,402
- +0 over 90d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 200 × 5.83 at the touch
- 24h range
- 12¢ – 15¢
A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 93¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Lai Ching-te leaves office before July 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
An announcement that Lai Ching-te will leave the office within the next year is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. If Lai Ching-te leaves solely because they have died, the associated market will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death). If a last traded price is not available or is not logically consistent, or if the Exchange determines at its sole discretion that the last traded prices prior to death do not represent a fair settlement value, the Outcome Review Committee will be responsible for making a binding determination of fair allocation.
- opened
- Jan 7 · 12:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Jul 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JUL01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.