galdor.xyz
Admin
Humanity's Last Exam·closes in 3mo

Will any LLM score at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026?

YES means At least 75%

24h volume
0
1,324 lifetime
Open interest
850
Spread
3¢
20 × 500 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
14%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
86%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 89¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask23562¢
  • ask1,10161¢
  • ask4060¢
  • ask10754¢
  • ask452¢
  • ask6145¢
  • ask15021¢
  • ask50014¢
spread3¢mid 13¢
  • bid2011¢
  • bid510¢
  • bid2008¢
  • bid5006¢
  • bid1504¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 75% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
May 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
75
ticker
KXLASTEXAM-26DEC31-T75
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.