Who will win the 2028 London mayoral election?·closes in 32mo

Will Sadiq Khan win the 2028 London mayoral election?

YES means Sadiq Khan

24h volume: 20; 4,707 lifetime
Open interest: 2,130; +28 over 30d
Spread: 2¢; 200 × 797 at the touch
24h range: 1¢ – 34¢

Chance of YES

26%+25

A YES contract costs 27¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

74%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask

25¢ / 27¢

NO bid / ask

73¢ / 75¢

24h low 1¢24h high 34¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask42798¢
ask5398¢
ask3195¢
ask1489¢
ask1675¢
ask1,38972¢
ask20033¢
ask79727¢

spread2¢mid 26¢

bid20025¢
bid2015¢
bid2884¢
bid491¢
bid1,0000¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sadiq Khan wins the 2028 London mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources

Greater London Returning Officer

opened: Jan 27 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes: May 1, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: May 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXLONDONMAYOR-28MAY01-SKHA

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 67¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.