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KXLONDONMAYOR·closes in 32mo

Will Sadiq Khan win the 2028 London mayoral election?

YES means Sadiq Khan

24h volume
20
4,707 lifetime
Open interest
2,130
Spread
2¢
200 × 797 at the touch
24h range
–
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
26%+25

A YES contract costs 27¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
74%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 27¢
NO bid / ask
73¢ / 75¢
Recent buying89% YES · 11% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask42798¢
  • ask5398¢
  • ask3195¢
  • ask1489¢
  • ask1675¢
  • ask1,38972¢
  • ask20033¢
  • ask79727¢
spread2¢mid 26¢
  • bid20025¢
  • bid2015¢
  • bid2884¢
  • bid491¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sadiq Khan wins the 2028 London mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 27 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
May 1, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
May 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXLONDONMAYOR-28MAY01-SKHA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 67¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 89% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
15h ago26¢5bought no
15h ago26¢5bought no
15h ago26¢5bought no
15h ago26¢5bought no
1d ago1¢1bought no
10d ago27¢70bought yes
11d ago27¢6bought no
15d ago34¢14bought yes
21d ago34¢20bought yes
29d ago31¢11bought yes
29d ago30¢5bought yes
1mo ago31¢26bought yes
1mo ago26¢154bought no
1mo ago31¢31bought yes
2mo ago31¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.