Southwest KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Southwest Airlines Company report Above 225 million seats flown in 2026?

YES means Above 225 million

24h volume
0
25 lifetime
Open interest
5
Spread
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 93¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 15¢

YES bid / ask
85¢ / 93¢
NO bid / ask
/ 15¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask3598¢
  • ask20094¢
  • ask593¢
spreadmid 89¢
  • bid585¢
  • bid20084¢
  • bid1,73247¢
  • bid1,28146¢
  • bid50045¢
  • bid40634¢
  • bid20025¢
  • bid5521¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Southwest Airlines Company reports Above 225000000 seats flown in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
225000000
ticker
KXLUVA-28JANSEATS-225000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago86¢5bought no
2mo ago85¢5.8bought no
2mo ago92¢11bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.