Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 10000000?

YES means Above 10.00M

24h volume
1
2,957 lifetime
Open interest
1,835
+1,732 over 90d
Spread
2 × 141 at the touch
24h range
52¢ – 52¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
52%28

A YES contract costs 52¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
48%

costs 54¢

YES bid / ask
46¢ / 52¢
NO bid / ask
48¢ / 54¢
24h low 52¢24h high 52¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volJul 2Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election is above 10000000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 1 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
10000000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-10000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16h ago52¢1bought yes
1d ago80¢16bought yes
1d ago50¢100bought yes
1d ago49¢10bought yes
2d ago24¢10bought no
5d ago41¢2.34bought yes
5d ago37¢162bought no
5d ago39¢108bought no
6d ago46¢1bought yes
8d ago30¢15bought no
10d ago0.08bought yes
10d ago24bought yes
10d ago5bought yes
10d ago68bought no
10d ago5.92bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.