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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 10600000?

YES means Above 10.60M

24h volume
0
3,992 lifetime
Open interest
1,791
+1,458 over 30d
Spread
6¢
4 × 131 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
38%

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 71¢

YES bid / ask
29¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 71¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask24469¢
  • ask22668¢
  • ask5266¢
  • ask7265¢
  • ask7061¢
  • ask560¢
  • ask2852¢
  • ask13135¢
spread6¢mid 32¢
  • bid429¢
  • bid13928¢
  • bid6315¢
  • bid25614¢
  • bid53312¢
  • bid78011¢
  • bid3637¢
  • bid1,5276¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election is above 10600000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 1 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
10600000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-10600000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago38¢79bought yes
2d ago37¢190bought yes
2d ago37¢1bought yes
2d ago35¢147bought yes
2d ago34¢104bought yes
2d ago33¢30bought yes
2d ago33¢25bought yes
9d ago20¢15bought yes
9d ago55¢56bought yes
9d ago56¢77bought yes
9d ago27¢2bought yes
9d ago21¢25bought yes
9d ago25¢20bought yes
9d ago38¢4bought yes
9d ago30¢18bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.