Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 12400000?

YES means Above 12.40M

24h volume: 0; 9.84 lifetime
Open interest: 7.84; +0 over 90d
Spread: 16¢; 100 × 50 at the touch
24h range: –; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

91%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask

4¢ / 20¢

NO bid / ask

80¢ / 96¢

Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask20059¢
ask35356¢
ask10048¢
ask347¢
ask10024¢
ask2023¢
ask5020¢

spread16¢mid 12¢

bid1004¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election is above 12400000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources

Texas Secretary of State

opened: May 7 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor: 12400000
ticker: KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-12400000

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	9¢	2	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.