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Midterm Voter Turnout·closes in 14mo

Will the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election be above 9400000?

YES means Above 9.40M

24h volume
1.3
1,608 lifetime
Open interest
1,349
+279 over 30d
Spread
20¢
116 × 100 at the touch
24h range
74¢ – 74¢
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
74%

A YES contract costs 78¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
26%

costs 42¢

YES bid / ask
58¢ / 78¢
NO bid / ask
22¢ / 42¢
24h low 74¢24h high 74¢
Recent buying90% YES · 10% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask32997¢
  • ask59196¢
  • ask76895¢
  • ask33094¢
  • ask13093¢
  • ask4090¢
  • ask7.379¢
  • ask10078¢
spread20¢mid 68¢
  • bid11658¢
  • bid28628¢
  • bid7527¢
  • bid11126¢
  • bid74725¢
  • bid11124¢
  • bid43610¢
  • bid7478¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the total vote count for all participants in Texas Senate General Election is above 9400000, then the market resolves to Yes.

The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 1 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 3, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
9400000
ticker
KXMIDTERMVOTETURN-TXSEN-9400000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 90% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16h ago74¢1bought yes
16h ago74¢0.3bought yes
1d ago74¢3bought yes
1d ago74¢3bought yes
2d ago89¢18bought yes
2d ago73¢0.6bought yes
2d ago73¢12bought yes
2d ago73¢100bought yes
4d ago68¢1.75bought yes
4d ago68¢3bought yes
4d ago68¢3bought yes
6d ago73¢100bought yes
10d ago63¢100bought no
10d ago63¢11bought no
10d ago64¢1.2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.