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Pro Baseball Debut·closed · NO

Will Aidan Miller play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2026?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2026

24h volume
0
2,998 lifetime
Open interest
2,087
−1 over 7d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying6% YES · 94% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volOct 31, 6:00 AMNov 1, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Aidan Miller plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-AMILLER-26NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 6% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago5¢1bought yes
4d ago1¢1bought no
9d ago5¢1bought yes
14d ago1¢200bought no
14d ago1¢181bought no
25d ago5¢19bought yes
1mo ago1¢40bought no
1mo ago1¢200bought no
1mo ago6¢200bought no
1mo ago7¢23bought no
1mo ago8¢21bought no
1mo ago8¢22bought no
1mo ago7¢13bought no
2mo ago7¢161bought no
2mo ago5¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.