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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 1mo

Will Aidan Miller play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2026?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2026

24h volume
0
2,078 lifetime
Open interest
1,390
+0 over 7d
Spread
19¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
37 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 21¢
NO bid / ask
79¢ / 98¢
Recent buying30% YES · 70% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢volSep 15Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9599¢
  • ask1498¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask19394¢
  • ask525¢
  • ask2022¢
  • ask521¢
spread19¢mid 11¢
  • bid52¢
  • bid401¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Aidan Miller plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-AMILLER-26NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 37 trades, 30% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago7¢161bought no
19d ago5¢10bought yes
19d ago5¢10bought yes
19d ago5¢10bought yes
19d ago5¢10bought yes
19d ago5¢10bought yes
19d ago5¢10bought yes
19d ago4¢5bought yes
19d ago1¢10bought no
19d ago6¢200bought no
23d ago7¢1bought no
23d ago8¢1bought yes
28d ago8¢5bought no
28d ago7¢200bought no
1mo ago8¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.