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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 10d

Will Aidan Miller play in a game for any team in the MLB before Oct 1, 2026?

YES means Before Oct 1, 2026

24h volume
0
1,439 lifetime
Open interest
1,404
+200 over 7d
Spread
5¢
0 × 22 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 4¢
32 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 100¢
24h low 4¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 15Sep 18

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10095¢
  • ask5094¢
  • ask9054¢
  • ask6439¢
  • ask6738¢
  • ask2326¢
  • ask39¢
  • ask225¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Aidan Miller plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMLBDEBUT-AMILLER-26OCT01
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 32 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2d ago4¢200bought no
    9d ago4¢47bought no
    19d ago4¢17bought no
    19d ago1¢46bought no
    19d ago1¢20bought no
    19d ago6¢200bought no
    19d ago6¢10bought no
    19d ago6¢10bought no
    19d ago6¢10bought no
    19d ago6¢10bought no
    19d ago6¢10bought no
    19d ago6¢10bought no
    19d ago6¢5bought no
    19d ago4¢31bought no
    23d ago4¢1bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.