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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 7mo

Will Aidan Miller play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2027?

YES means Before May 1, 2027

24h volume
0
2,095 lifetime
Open interest
1,393
−190 over 7d
Spread
81¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 87¢
Recent buying12% YES · 88% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 15Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask594¢
spread81¢mid 53¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid511¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid1392¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Aidan Miller plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
May 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-AMILLER-27MAY01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 12% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago44¢5bought yes
4d ago50¢195bought yes
4d ago43¢15bought no
4d ago44¢5bought no
10d ago49¢200bought no
19d ago39¢191bought no
19d ago41¢200bought no
19d ago33¢5.26bought no
19d ago43¢200bought no
19d ago28¢3.48bought no
19d ago45¢200bought no
19d ago30¢2.14bought no
19d ago49¢200bought no
19d ago18¢36bought no
2mo ago53¢26bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.