Will Franklin Arias play in a game for any team in the MLB before Oct 1, 2026?
YES means Before Oct 1, 2026
- 24h volume
- 5
- 1,135 lifetime
- Open interest
- 712
- +635 over 30d
- Spread
- 6¢
- 5 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- 17¢ – 17¢
- 21 recent trades
A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 82¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask10095¢
- ask1585¢
- ask3775¢
- ask26163¢
- ask2962¢
- ask20025¢
- ask524¢
- bid518¢
- bid2917¢
- bid20016¢
- bid1005¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Franklin Arias plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- opened
- Aug 14 · 3:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Oct 1 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXMLBDEBUT-FARIAS-26OCT01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 21 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7h ago | 17¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 70¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 70¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2d ago | 27¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2d ago | 16¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 4d ago | 27¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 32¢ | 21 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 29¢ | 21 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 32¢ | 39 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 29¢ | 39 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 29¢ | 39 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 30¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 34¢ | 44 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 31¢ | 25 | bought yes |
| 19d ago | 29¢ | 200 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.