Will Franklin Arias play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2028?
YES means Before Nov 1, 2028
- 24h volume
- 0
- 903 lifetime
- Open interest
- 407
- +271 over 30d
- Spread
- 77¢
- 5 × 14 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 13 recent trades
A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 79¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask1498¢
- bid521¢
- bid320¢
- bid147¢
- bid1246¢
- bid1005¢
- bid3063¢
- bid501¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Franklin Arias plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- opened
- May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Nov 1, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXMLBDEBUT-FARIAS-28NOV01
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 13 trades, 37% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 90¢ | 181 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 91¢ | 7 | bought no |
| 14d ago | 95¢ | 83 | bought yes |
| 14d ago | 96¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 14d ago | 96¢ | 7 | bought yes |
| 14d ago | 97¢ | 70 | bought yes |
| 16d ago | 77¢ | 60 | bought no |
| 16d ago | 92¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 91¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 95¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 91¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 95¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 95¢ | 1 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.