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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 44mo

Will Grady Emerson play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2030?

YES means Before May 1, 2030

24h volume
0
346 lifetime
Open interest
12
+12 over 90d
Spread
87¢
5 × 3.01 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
44%

A YES contract costs 93¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
56%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 93¢
NO bid / ask
7¢ / 94¢
Recent buying17% YES · 83% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volJul 12Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask3.0193¢
spread87¢mid 50¢
  • bid56¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Grady Emerson plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before May 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
May 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2032 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-GEMERSON-30MAY01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago44¢3.01bought no
2mo ago44¢5bought no
2mo ago44¢25bought no
2mo ago44¢25bought no
2mo ago44¢5bought no
2mo ago44¢75bought no
2mo ago44¢5bought no
2mo ago45¢25bought yes
2mo ago45¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.