Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 35mo

Will Jackson Flora play in a game for any team in the MLB before Aug 1, 2029?

YES means Before Aug 1, 2029

24h volume
0
403 lifetime
Open interest
98
+0 over 7d
Spread
89¢
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
53%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
47%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
/ 95¢
NO bid / ask
/ 94¢
Recent buying98% YES · 2% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 16Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10095¢
spread89¢mid 51¢
  • bid5
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jackson Flora plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Aug 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Aug 1, 2029 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-JFLORA-29AUG01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 98% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago53¢86bought yes
7d ago52¢5.4bought yes
2mo ago48¢5bought yes
2mo ago48¢4.6bought yes
2mo ago48¢25bought yes
2mo ago48¢5bought yes
2mo ago48¢59bought yes
2mo ago48¢5bought yes
2mo ago48¢4bought yes
2mo ago48¢5bought yes
2mo ago48¢25bought yes
2mo ago47¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.