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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 44mo

Will Jackson Flora play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2030?

YES means Before May 1, 2030

24h volume
0
296 lifetime
Open interest
9
+0 over 7d
Spread
88¢
5 × 3 at the touch
24h range
–
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
67%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
33%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 94¢
Recent buying3% YES · 97% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 16Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10095¢
  • ask394¢
spread88¢mid 50¢
  • bid56¢
  • bid1005¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jackson Flora plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before May 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
May 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-JFLORA-30MAY01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 3% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2mo ago67¢10bought no
2mo ago67¢8bought no
2mo ago67¢25bought no
2mo ago67¢5bought no
2mo ago67¢5bought no
2mo ago67¢50bought no
2mo ago67¢5bought no
2mo ago67¢25bought no
2mo ago67¢5bought no
2mo ago67¢3bought no
2mo ago68¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.