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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 32mo

Will Jackson Flora play in a game for any team in the MLB before May 1, 2029?

YES means Before May 1, 2029

24h volume
0
537 lifetime
Open interest
240
+0 over 7d
Spread
78¢
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
45%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
55%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
5¢ / 83¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 16Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10095¢
spread78¢mid 56¢
  • bid517¢
  • bid1.0816¢
  • bid1005¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jackson Flora plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before May 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
May 1, 2029 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-JFLORA-29MAY01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago45¢107bought yes
2mo ago42¢126bought yes
2mo ago40¢10bought yes
2mo ago40¢0.07bought yes
2mo ago40¢50bought yes
2mo ago40¢25bought yes
2mo ago40¢25bought yes
2mo ago40¢5bought yes
2mo ago40¢5bought yes
2mo ago40¢5bought yes
2mo ago40¢5bought yes
2mo ago40¢4bought yes
2mo ago40¢7.01bought yes
2mo ago39¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.