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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 12mo

Will Leo De Vries play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2027?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2027

24h volume
0
4,379 lifetime
Open interest
553
Spread
8¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
55%

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
45%

costs 50¢

YES bid / ask
50¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 50¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask197¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask5094¢
  • ask1,08893¢
  • ask1492¢
  • ask9073¢
  • ask168¢
  • ask20058¢
spread8¢mid 54¢
  • bid550¢
  • bid20049¢
  • bid139¢
  • bid9034¢
  • bid1728¢
  • bid7527¢
  • bid40426¢
  • bid98425¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Leo De Vries plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-LDEVRIES-27NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago55¢176bought yes
26d ago46¢199bought no
1mo ago51¢200bought yes
1mo ago55¢190bought yes
1mo ago51¢200bought yes
1mo ago50¢20bought yes
2mo ago58¢50bought no
2mo ago59¢5bought no
2mo ago62¢200bought yes
2mo ago60¢200bought yes
2mo ago58¢200bought yes
2mo ago56¢200bought yes
2mo ago52¢200bought yes
2mo ago72¢3.17bought yes
2mo ago70¢3.17bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.