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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 14mo

Will Leo De Vries play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2027?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2027

24h volume
0
3,394 lifetime
Open interest
836
+0 over 7d
Spread
77¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
58%

A YES contract costs 85¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
42%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 85¢
NO bid / ask
15¢ / 92¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 15Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask1,02998¢
  • ask10095¢
  • ask2087¢
  • ask77786¢
  • ask585¢
spread77¢mid 47¢
  • bid58¢
  • bid4107¢
  • bid1005¢
  • bid971¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Leo De Vries plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2027 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-LDEVRIES-27NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago58¢50bought no
10d ago59¢5bought no
11d ago62¢200bought yes
11d ago60¢200bought yes
11d ago58¢200bought yes
11d ago56¢200bought yes
11d ago52¢200bought yes
12d ago72¢3.17bought yes
12d ago70¢3.17bought no
12d ago70¢48bought no
12d ago72¢200bought no
12d ago74¢200bought no
12d ago76¢200bought no
12d ago78¢200bought no
12d ago86¢50bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.