Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 50mo

Will Roch Cholowsky play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2030?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2030

24h volume
0
321 lifetime
Open interest
34
+34 over 90d
Spread
73¢
5 × 16 at the touch
24h range
38¢ – 95¢
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
88%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
12%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
/ 79¢
24h low 38¢24h high 95¢
Recent buying91% YES · 9% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢100¢volJul 12Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00096¢
  • ask9795¢
  • ask1694¢
spread73¢mid 57¢
  • bid521¢
  • bid320¢
  • bid94
  • bid227
  • bid1,000
  • bid50
  • bid3,000
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Roch Cholowsky plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 11 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes
Nov 1, 2030 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 1, 2031 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLBDEBUT-RCHOLOWSKY-30NOV01
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 91% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
28d ago90¢2bought no
28d ago90¢2bought no
28d ago88¢8bought no
2mo ago91¢54bought yes
2mo ago91¢6.87bought yes
2mo ago91¢27bought yes
2mo ago91¢0.13bought yes
2mo ago91¢25bought yes
2mo ago91¢5bought yes
2mo ago91¢5bought yes
2mo ago91¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.