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Pro Baseball Debut·closes in 1mo

Will Thomas White play in a game for any team in the MLB before Nov 1, 2026?

YES means Before Nov 1, 2026

24h volume
0
3,085 lifetime
Open interest
2,011
+216 over 30d
Spread
4¢
0 × 92 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 4¢
49 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 100¢
24h low 2¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying35% YES · 65% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 29Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask5797¢
  • ask5,00095¢
  • ask2006¢
  • ask2005¢
  • ask924¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Thomas White plays for any MLB team in a regular season or playoff game before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 9 · 2:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Nov 1 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Nov 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMLBDEBUT-TWHITE-26NOV01
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 49 trades, 35% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    3d ago2¢200bought no
    4d ago3¢8bought no
    4d ago3¢10bought no
    11d ago4¢4bought yes
    12d ago4¢2bought yes
    23d ago4¢2bought yes
    1mo ago4¢200bought no
    1mo ago4¢15bought no
    1mo ago6¢5bought no
    1mo ago5¢200bought no
    2mo ago8¢108bought no
    2mo ago9¢16bought no
    2mo ago9¢5bought no
    2mo ago13¢250bought no
    2mo ago14¢5bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.