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Professional Baseball Game·closes in 4d

Toronto wins

YES means Toronto

24h volume
10.9k
11.2k lifetime
Open interest
10.4k
+10.2k over 30d
Spread
1¢
81.8k × 1,825 at the touch
24h range
49¢ – 52¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
50%

A YES contract costs 50¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
50%

costs 51¢

YES bid / ask
49¢ / 50¢
NO bid / ask
50¢ / 51¢
24h low 49¢24h high 52¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
40¢50¢60¢volSep 18, 11:00 PMSep 21, 3:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask15857¢
  • ask11456¢
  • ask1,23055¢
  • ask15.0k54¢
  • ask28.4k53¢
  • ask221.5k52¢
  • ask207.9k51¢
  • ask1,82550¢
spread1¢mid 50¢
  • bid81.8k49¢
  • bid60.4k48¢
  • bid19.0k47¢
  • bid13.2k46¢
  • bid59445¢
  • bid76244¢
  • bid2,60943¢
  • bid13842¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toronto wins the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

The following market refers to the Toronto vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 6:35 PM EDT. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 18 · 10:55 PM UTC
closes
Sep 24 · 10:35 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 1:35 AM UTC
ticker
KXMLBGAME-26SEP211835TORBAL-TOR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3m ago50¢1.08bought yes
4m ago50¢49bought yes
13m ago50¢9.59bought yes
14m ago50¢24bought yes
14m ago50¢5bought yes
19m ago49¢49bought no
21m ago49¢49bought no
21m ago50¢49bought yes
22m ago50¢39bought yes
23m ago50¢5.4bought yes
27m ago50¢49bought yes
29m ago50¢20bought yes
30m ago50¢19bought yes
31m ago50¢9bought yes
33m ago50¢0.49bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.