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Pro Baseball Spread·closed · YES

Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs?

YES means Arizona wins by over 3.5 runs

24h volume
68.3k
68.3k lifetime
Open interest
43.4k
+43.4k over 24h
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 99¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 2¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 7:52 AMSep 20, 11:02 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 3.5 runs in the New York Y vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 19 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 11:10 PM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP201610NYYAZ-AZ4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1h ago99¢235bought no
1h ago99¢27bought no
1h ago99¢4bought yes
1h ago99¢43bought yes
1h ago99¢19bought yes
1h ago99¢150bought yes
1h ago99¢25bought yes
1h ago99¢100bought yes
1h ago99¢10bought yes
1h ago99¢0.3bought yes
1h ago99¢56bought yes
1h ago99¢1bought yes
1h ago99¢150bought yes
1h ago99¢14bought yes
1h ago99¢400bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.