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Pro Baseball Spread·closed · NO

Arizona wins by over 4.5 runs?

YES means Arizona wins by over 4.5 runs

24h volume
6,157
6,157 lifetime
Open interest
5,118
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arizona wins by more than 4.5 runs in the New York Y vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 9:56 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 21 · 2:10 AM UTC
floor
4.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP201610NYYAZ-AZ5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago1¢9bought no
5h ago1¢39bought no
5h ago1¢150bought no
5h ago1¢1bought no
5h ago1¢300bought no
5h ago3¢30bought no
5h ago5¢10bought no
5h ago5¢150bought yes
5h ago5¢100bought no
5h ago5¢100bought no
5h ago5¢75bought no
5h ago6¢100bought yes
5h ago6¢62bought yes
5h ago6¢500bought yes
5h ago6¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.