Pro Baseball Spread·closed · NO

New York Y wins by over 3.5 runs?

YES means New York Y wins by over 3.5 runs

24h volume
17.3k
17.3k lifetime
Open interest
14.1k
+14.1k over 30d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 46¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
24h low 24h high 46¢
Recent buying31% YES · 69% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 4:00 PMSep 21, 12:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If New York Y wins by more than 3.5 runs in the New York Y vs Arizona professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 19 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 11:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 11:10 PM UTC
floor
3.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP201610NYYAZ-NYY4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 31% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago39bought no
3h ago10bought no
3h ago50bought no
3h ago3.17bought no
3h ago19bought no
3h ago36bought no
3h ago65bought no
3h ago97bought no
3h ago100bought no
3h ago14bought no
3h ago23bought no
4h ago75bought no
4h ago1bought no
4h ago32bought yes
4h ago100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.