Pro Baseball Spread·closes in 4d

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs?

YES means Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs

24h volume
7,577
7,577 lifetime
Open interest
7,514
+7,514 over 24h
Spread
2,417 × 13 at the touch
24h range
39¢ – 41¢
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
40%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
60%

costs 61¢

YES bid / ask
39¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 61¢
24h low 39¢24h high 41¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

35¢40¢45¢volSep 21, 12:13 AMSep 21, 3:08 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask42247¢
  • ask9046¢
  • ask8145¢
  • ask61344¢
  • ask1,32143¢
  • ask36.4k42¢
  • ask7,39541¢
  • ask1340¢
spreadmid 40¢
  • bid2,41739¢
  • bid20.8k38¢
  • bid22.5k37¢
  • bid13.5k36¢
  • bid1,15535¢
  • bid68034¢
  • bid14733¢
  • bid61532¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Minnesota vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 1:45 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 4:45 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP212145MINSF-MIN2
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6m ago40¢19bought no
7m ago40¢13bought yes
7m ago40¢11bought yes
42m ago39¢19bought no
47m ago39¢31bought no
2h ago41¢1bought yes
2h ago40¢80bought yes
2h ago40¢1bought yes
2h ago40¢73bought yes
2h ago40¢1bought yes
2h ago40¢135bought yes
2h ago40¢4,632bought yes
2h ago40¢1,666bought yes
2h ago40¢0.01bought yes
2h ago40¢400bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.