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Pro Baseball Spread·closes in 4d

Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs?

YES means Minnesota wins by over 1.5 runs

24h volume
7,485
7,485 lifetime
Open interest
7,485
+7,484 over 30d
Spread
1¢
990 × 900 at the touch
24h range
40¢ – 40¢
Chance of YES
41%

A YES contract costs 40¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
59%

costs 61¢

YES bid / ask
39¢ / 40¢
NO bid / ask
60¢ / 61¢
24h low 40¢24h high 40¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask42247¢
  • ask9046¢
  • ask8145¢
  • ask51844¢
  • ask82143¢
  • ask16.9k42¢
  • ask5,17341¢
  • ask90040¢
spread1¢mid 40¢
  • bid99039¢
  • bid11.2k38¢
  • bid6,59037¢
  • bid24.7k36¢
  • bid1,06035¢
  • bid68034¢
  • bid14733¢
  • bid71032¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Minnesota wins by more than 1.5 runs in the Minnesota vs San Francisco professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 9:45 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 25 · 1:45 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 22 · 4:45 AM UTC
floor
1.5
ticker
KXMLBSPREAD-26SEP212145MINSF-MIN2
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.