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MLS Cup champion·closes in 2mo

Will Philadelphia win the MLS Cup?

YES means Philadelphia

24h volume
1,017
157.3k lifetime
Open interest
135.7k
+1,514 over 7d
Spread
1¢
654 × 601 at the touch
24h range
5¢ – 7¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%+3

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 94¢
24h low 5¢24h high 7¢
Recent buying23% YES · 77% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11119¢
  • ask117¢
  • ask10013¢
  • ask7.7512¢
  • ask27610¢
  • ask5519¢
  • ask5968¢
  • ask6017¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid6546¢
  • bid12.4k5¢
  • bid12.5k4¢
  • bid2,8573¢
  • bid1,0632¢
  • bid1,4241¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Philadelphia is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Cup Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 6 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 25 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLSCUP-26-PHI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 121¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 23% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago7¢0.37bought yes
5h ago7¢0.01bought yes
5h ago7¢50bought yes
6h ago6¢51bought no
7h ago6¢103bought no
12h ago6¢45bought no
12h ago6¢51bought no
12h ago6¢51bought no
20h ago6¢29bought yes
20h ago6¢30bought yes
21h ago5¢228bought yes
21h ago5¢8bought yes
21h ago5¢1bought yes
21h ago6¢131bought yes
21h ago5¢8bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.