MLS Cup champion·closes in 2mo

Will Vancouver win the MLS Cup?

YES means Vancouver

24h volume
341
212.3k lifetime
Open interest
148.0k
+3,240 over 7d
Spread
1¢
19 × 4,968 at the touch
24h range
18¢ – 18¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
18%

A YES contract costs 18¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
82%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 18¢
NO bid / ask
82¢ / 83¢
24h low 18¢24h high 18¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢15¢20¢25¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2037¢
  • ask3033¢
  • ask11032¢
  • ask128¢
  • ask2,00021¢
  • ask2,10320¢
  • ask3,29419¢
  • ask4,96818¢
spread1¢mid 18¢
  • bid1917¢
  • bid21416¢
  • bid66515¢
  • bid5,89714¢
  • bid10013¢
  • bid5312¢
  • bid1511¢
  • bid208¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Vancouver is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Cup Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 6 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 25 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLSCUP-26-VAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 121¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5m ago18¢253bought yes
8h ago18¢1bought yes
8h ago18¢1bought yes
9h ago18¢15bought yes
10h ago18¢50bought yes
13h ago18¢32bought yes
13h ago18¢3bought yes
13h ago18¢48bought yes
15h ago18¢1bought yes
16h ago18¢1bought yes
21h ago18¢1bought yes
21h ago18¢15bought yes
21h ago18¢89bought yes
22h ago18¢1bought yes
22h ago18¢70bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.