MLS Cup champion·closes in 2mo

Will Chicago win the MLS Cup?

YES means Chicago

24h volume
40
91.2k lifetime
Open interest
51.6k
+723 over 7d
Spread
1¢
31.2k × 1,539 at the touch
24h range
3¢ – 4¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%+1

A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
NO bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
24h low 3¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying57% YES · 43% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢volOct 29Nov 5

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask14118¢
  • ask114¢
  • ask9839¢
  • ask3,5658¢
  • ask1387¢
  • ask5286¢
  • ask2,1125¢
  • ask1,5394¢
spread1¢mid 4¢
  • bid31.2k3¢
  • bid4342¢
  • bid4221¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Chicago is the 2026 Major League Soccer (MLS) Cup Champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 6 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 25 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMLSCUP-26-CHI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 121¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 57% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago4¢4bought yes
2h ago4¢9bought yes
3h ago4¢26bought yes
6h ago3¢1bought no
1d ago3¢1bought no
1d ago4¢3bought yes
1d ago4¢3bought yes
1d ago4¢8bought yes
1d ago4¢3bought yes
1d ago4¢3bought yes
1d ago4¢3bought yes
1d ago4¢3bought yes
1d ago4¢3bought yes
1d ago4¢8bought yes
1d ago4¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.