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Fighters to comepete in MVP event·closes in 4mo

Ilia Topuria to compete in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2027?

YES means Ilia Topuria

24h volume
0
1,148 lifetime
Open interest
954
+100 over 7d
Spread
49¢
0 × 1,000 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 1¢
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 100¢
24h low 1¢24h high 1¢
Recent buying18% YES · 82% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,81996¢
  • ask11694¢
  • ask10892¢
  • ask69791¢
  • ask1,06775¢
  • ask30174¢
  • ask4373¢
  • ask1,00049¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Ilia Topuria competes in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 30 · 6:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMMACOMPETE-27JAN-ITOP
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 15 trades, 18% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    3d ago1¢100bought no
    13d ago1¢100bought yes
    17d ago1¢170bought no
    17d ago1¢100bought no
    17d ago6¢100bought no
    17d ago7¢100bought no
    18d ago8¢100bought no
    18d ago9¢100bought no
    18d ago10¢100bought no
    18d ago12¢0.07bought yes
    18d ago1¢13bought yes
    18d ago10¢80bought yes
    2mo ago9¢13bought yes
    2mo ago5¢66bought no
    2mo ago6¢5bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.