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Fighters to comepete in MVP event·closes in 4mo

Sean O'Malley to compete in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2027?

YES means Sean O'Malley

24h volume
0
2,829 lifetime
Open interest
1,903
Spread
24¢
0 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
49 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 100¢
Recent buying25% YES · 75% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2545¢
  • ask9142¢
  • ask2941¢
  • ask1638¢
  • ask2035¢
  • ask2430¢
  • ask2525¢
  • ask524¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Sean O'Malley competes in the MVP (Most Valuable Promotions) MMA before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 30 · 6:30 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXMMACOMPETE-27JAN-SOMA
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 49 trades, 25% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    3d ago1¢100bought no
    7d ago1¢200bought no
    7d ago2¢29bought no
    10d ago1¢1bought no
    10d ago2¢100bought no
    10d ago3¢100bought no
    10d ago4¢100bought no
    10d ago6¢100bought no
    10d ago6¢9.77bought no
    10d ago6¢4.23bought no
    10d ago6¢4.51bought no
    11d ago9¢45bought yes
    11d ago8¢5bought yes
    13d ago5¢100bought no
    14d ago6¢1.15bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.