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Altria Group Annual KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Altria Group Inc. report Above 54.5 billion domestic cigarette shipments in 2026?

YES means Above 54.5 billion

24h volume
0
12.7k lifetime
Open interest
1,783
Spread
6¢
5 × 54 at the touch
24h range
–
28 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 94¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 12¢

YES bid / ask
88¢ / 94¢
NO bid / ask
6¢ / 12¢
Recent buying18% YES · 82% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask196¢
  • ask20195¢
  • ask5494¢
spread6¢mid 91¢
  • bid588¢
  • bid10087¢
  • bid1386¢
  • bid20085¢
  • bid5060¢
  • bid56949¢
  • bid2648¢
  • bid46447¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Altria Group Inc. reports Above 54500000000.0 domestic cigarette shipments in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
54500000000
ticker
KXMOA-28JANCIGS-54500000000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 28 trades, 18% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago99¢12bought yes
1d ago99¢1.1bought yes
15d ago61¢77bought no
16d ago89¢33bought no
16d ago88¢200bought no
16d ago89¢12bought no
17d ago88¢100bought no
19d ago99¢7bought yes
19d ago99¢0.5bought yes
19d ago84¢5bought yes
19d ago98¢19bought yes
19d ago83¢1bought yes
19d ago98¢35bought yes
19d ago97¢9.69bought yes
19d ago87¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.