who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Orlando Bloom be cast in The next feature-length film in the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise to be released by Walt Disney Studios after Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017)?

YES means Orlando Bloom

24h volume
0
96 lifetime
Open interest
40
+0 over 24h
Spread
5 × 100 at the touch
24h range
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 72¢

YES bid / ask
28¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 72¢
Recent buying71% YES · 29% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

20¢25¢30¢35¢40¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 12:22 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask16289¢
  • ask13585¢
  • ask10784¢
  • ask19470¢
  • ask26563¢
  • ask4062¢
  • ask10035¢
spreadmid 32¢
  • bid528¢
  • bid527¢
  • bid10026¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Orlando Bloom is cast in The next feature-length film in the Pirates of the Caribbean franchise to be released by Walt Disney Studios after Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (2017) before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Aug 19 · 6:24 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-PIR29-OBLO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 71% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago34¢8.43bought yes
9d ago35¢10bought yes
10d ago35¢13bought yes
18d ago35¢2.73bought yes
24d ago35¢0.6bought yes
24d ago34¢5bought yes
29d ago29¢23bought no
29d ago30¢5bought no
30d ago34¢28bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.