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who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Ayo Edebiri be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Ayo Edebiri

24h volume
0
1,800 lifetime
Open interest
832
+0 over 24h
Spread
31¢
1 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 39¢
NO bid / ask
61¢ / 92¢
Recent buying14% YES · 86% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 4:01 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask8089¢
  • ask16872¢
  • ask11771¢
  • ask14470¢
  • ask1664¢
  • ask5541¢
  • ask540¢
  • ask539¢
spread31¢mid 24¢
  • bid18¢
  • bid57¢
  • bid55¢
  • bid344¢
  • bid2392¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ayo Edebiri is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-AYO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 14% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14d ago9¢4.68bought no
14d ago9¢6.71bought no
14d ago10¢5bought no
1mo ago13¢5bought yes
1mo ago14¢74bought yes
1mo ago33¢5bought no
1mo ago34¢74bought no
1mo ago34¢245bought no
1mo ago33¢249bought no
1mo ago34¢50bought no
2mo ago41¢4.68bought yes
2mo ago40¢12bought yes
2mo ago39¢1bought yes
2mo ago40¢1.41bought yes
2mo ago41¢3.33bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.