galdor.xyz
Admin
who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Charles Melton be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Charles Melton

24h volume
0
6,320 lifetime
Open interest
2,904
Spread
44¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
30%

A YES contract costs 60¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
70%

costs 84¢

YES bid / ask
16¢ / 60¢
NO bid / ask
40¢ / 84¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask57580¢
  • ask40279¢
  • ask5178¢
  • ask25072¢
  • ask13868¢
  • ask5967¢
  • ask561¢
  • ask560¢
spread44¢mid 38¢
  • bid516¢
  • bid515¢
  • bid3013¢
  • bid1914¢
  • bid2912¢
  • bid1,3521¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Charles Melton is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 6 · 9:30 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-CHA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago30¢0.98bought no
6d ago33¢2.89bought yes
6d ago30¢34bought no
6d ago29¢41bought no
7d ago36¢0.98bought yes
8d ago37¢7.76bought yes
8d ago37¢11bought yes
8d ago36¢15bought yes
10d ago35¢217bought no
10d ago39¢221bought no
10d ago42¢155bought no
10d ago20¢36bought no
10d ago44¢100bought no
10d ago18¢75bought no
10d ago19¢112bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.