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who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Colman Domingo be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Colman Domingo

24h volume
0
3,942 lifetime
Open interest
733
+0 over 7d
Spread
40¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 46¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 46¢
NO bid / ask
54¢ / 94¢
Recent buying4% YES · 96% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask32975¢
  • ask3673¢
  • ask4770¢
  • ask11469¢
  • ask3.5150¢
  • ask5248¢
  • ask5.2347¢
  • ask546¢
spread40¢mid 26¢
  • bid56¢
  • bid55¢
  • bid2002¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Colman Domingo is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-COL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 4% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago20¢4.73bought yes
28d ago21¢100bought no
1mo ago21¢100bought no
1mo ago21¢12bought no
1mo ago23¢250bought no
1mo ago25¢0.81bought no
1mo ago25¢10bought no
1mo ago26¢5bought no
1mo ago25¢1bought no
1mo ago26¢5bought no
1mo ago25¢8.16bought no
2mo ago26¢18bought yes
2mo ago25¢8bought no
2mo ago26¢3bought no
2mo ago25¢11bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.