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who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Glen Powell be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Glen Powell

24h volume
0
1,169 lifetime
Open interest
662
+0 over 7d
Spread
44¢
5 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 58¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 58¢
NO bid / ask
42¢ / 86¢
Recent buying12% YES · 88% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask20098¢
  • ask5897¢
  • ask559¢
  • ask258¢
spread44¢mid 36¢
  • bid514¢
  • bid5013¢
  • bid24912¢
  • bid15011¢
  • bid15010¢
  • bid1509¢
  • bid717¢
  • bid836¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Glen Powell is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-GLE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 21 trades, 12% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago12¢5.66bought no
1mo ago16¢1.62bought yes
2mo ago18¢200bought no
2mo ago24¢5bought no
2mo ago23¢200bought no
2mo ago26¢2bought yes
2mo ago27¢198bought no
2mo ago28¢2bought no
2mo ago46¢2.09bought yes
2mo ago37¢2.39bought no
2mo ago39¢39bought no
2mo ago47¢41bought yes
2mo ago50¢0.96bought yes
2mo ago40¢1.62bought no
2mo ago50¢1.93bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.