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who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Hunter Schafer be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Hunter Schafer

24h volume
0
1,336 lifetime
Open interest
170
+0 over 24h
Spread
84¢
5 × 1.64 at the touch
24h range
–
27 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 95¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 89¢

YES bid / ask
11¢ / 95¢
NO bid / ask
5¢ / 89¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 20, 11:33 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,01099¢
  • ask22696¢
  • ask1.6495¢
spread84¢mid 53¢
  • bid511¢
  • bid7110¢
  • bid0.129¢
  • bid2702¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Hunter Schafer is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-HUN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 27 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago22¢0.12bought no
11d ago29¢9.85bought yes
1mo ago23¢1.64bought no
1mo ago27¢218bought yes
1mo ago26¢13bought yes
1mo ago24¢53bought no
1mo ago27¢53bought yes
1mo ago10¢26bought no
1mo ago25¢200bought no
1mo ago26¢5bought no
2mo ago31¢31bought no
2mo ago32¢5bought no
2mo ago23¢1.27bought no
2mo ago23¢1bought yes
2mo ago23¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.