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who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Jesse Plemons be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Jesse Plemons

24h volume
0
345 lifetime
Open interest
126
Spread
32¢
5 × 45 at the touch
24h range
–
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
26%

A YES contract costs 35¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
74%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 35¢
NO bid / ask
65¢ / 97¢
Recent buying58% YES · 42% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask59590¢
  • ask2,06384¢
  • ask89782¢
  • ask2.6375¢
  • ask42274¢
  • ask20073¢
  • ask5036¢
  • ask4535¢
spread32¢mid 19¢
  • bid53¢
  • bid2002¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Jesse Plemons is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-JES
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 58% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago26¢13bought no
2mo ago35¢25bought yes
2mo ago36¢2.63bought yes
2mo ago32¢1bought no
2mo ago30¢2bought yes
2mo ago30¢3.17bought yes
2mo ago35¢7bought no
2mo ago36¢5bought yes
2mo ago35¢11bought no
2mo ago35¢1bought no
2mo ago36¢1bought yes
2mo ago36¢7bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.