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who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Kelsey Grammer be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Kelsey Grammer

24h volume
0
252 lifetime
Open interest
167
Spread
94¢
5 × 1.4 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
23%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
77%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 97¢
Recent buying92% YES · 8% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,09999¢
  • ask20098¢
  • ask1.497¢
spread94¢mid 50¢
  • bid53¢
  • bid2002¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kelsey Grammer is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-KEL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 92% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13d ago23¢99bought yes
2mo ago31¢1.4bought no
2mo ago35¢2.73bought yes
2mo ago32¢42bought yes
2mo ago22¢7.56bought yes
2mo ago20¢5bought yes
2mo ago19¢13bought no
2mo ago20¢4.73bought yes
2mo ago20¢4.73bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.