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who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Patrick Stewart be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Patrick Stewart

24h volume
0
2,763 lifetime
Open interest
772
Spread
84¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
3¢ / 87¢
Recent buying39% YES · 61% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask21798¢
  • ask597¢
spread84¢mid 55¢
  • bid513¢
  • bid512¢
  • bid239¢
  • bid0.117¢
  • bid1833¢
  • bid2722¢
  • bid1,0001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Patrick Stewart is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-PAT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago36¢20bought no
3d ago75¢3.8bought yes
3d ago75¢7.77bought yes
3d ago95¢19bought yes
3d ago97¢86bought yes
3d ago74¢5bought yes
6d ago23¢5bought yes
7d ago16¢0.11bought no
13d ago24¢100bought no
21d ago24¢19bought no
30d ago28¢5bought yes
30d ago29¢5.51bought yes
30d ago28¢2bought yes
1mo ago21¢100bought no
1mo ago22¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.