galdor.xyz
Admin
who will be cast in movie·closes in 28mo

Will Pedro Pascal be cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios?

YES means Pedro Pascal

24h volume
14
2,387 lifetime
Open interest
416
Spread
16¢
5 × 86 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%+7

A YES contract costs 34¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 34¢
NO bid / ask
66¢ / 82¢
Recent buying40% YES · 60% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask60489¢
  • ask1,71481¢
  • ask81780¢
  • ask57968¢
  • ask25567¢
  • ask7266¢
  • ask12547¢
  • ask8634¢
spread16¢mid 26¢
  • bid518¢
  • bid217¢
  • bid10016¢
  • bid10015¢
  • bid587¢
  • bid2006¢
  • bid1134¢
  • bid7292¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Pedro Pascal is cast in the next official X-Men motion picture produced by Marvel Studios before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 12:25 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMOVIECAST-XMAN29-PED
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 40% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago34¢14bought yes
13d ago27¢9.03bought yes
24d ago27¢1.27bought yes
1mo ago22¢1bought no
1mo ago27¢1bought yes
1mo ago30¢4bought yes
1mo ago33¢5.03bought yes
1mo ago29¢1.27bought yes
1mo ago30¢5.11bought yes
2mo ago23¢1.27bought no
2mo ago30¢25bought yes
2mo ago27¢3.52bought yes
2mo ago27¢44bought no
2mo ago27¢25bought no
2mo ago28¢31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.