music report·closes in 15mo

Will The Life of a Showgirl be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?

YES means The Life of a Showgirl

24h volume
0
4,853 lifetime
Open interest
2,543
Spread
0 × 50 at the touch
24h range
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
97¢ / 100¢
Recent buying80% YES · 20% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Life of a Showgirl is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling CD Albums of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPCDSALE27DEC31-TLOASG
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 112¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 80% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago25bought no
4d ago25bought no
1mo ago16bought no
1mo ago83bought no
2mo ago10¢47bought yes
2mo ago52bought yes
2mo ago193bought no
2mo ago5bought no
2mo ago43bought no
2mo ago5bought yes
2mo ago10¢43bought yes
2mo ago25bought yes
2mo ago4bought yes
2mo ago164bought yes
2mo ago1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.