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music report·closes in 15mo

Will Choosin’ Texas be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard?

YES means Choosin’ Texas

24h volume
0
4,949 lifetime
Open interest
2,906
+0 over 24h
Spread
2¢
1.19 × 75 at the touch
24h range
–
44 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 83¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 19¢

YES bid / ask
81¢ / 83¢
NO bid / ask
17¢ / 19¢
Recent buying68% YES · 32% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
75¢80¢85¢90¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 1:26 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,67998¢
  • ask17197¢
  • ask4.7695¢
  • ask11294¢
  • ask7593¢
  • ask392¢
  • ask10084¢
  • ask7583¢
spread2¢mid 82¢
  • bid1.1981¢
  • bid10080¢
  • bid10076¢
  • bid15059¢
  • bid60058¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Choosin’ Texas is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Digital Songs of 2026 in U.S., as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPDIGSALE27DEC31-CHO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 121¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 44 trades, 68% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago85¢1bought yes
11d ago80¢10bought no
11d ago79¢1.65bought no
11d ago80¢0.89bought no
19d ago79¢0.89bought no
19d ago85¢0.89bought yes
19d ago77¢1.19bought no
19d ago83¢1.19bought yes
19d ago78¢100bought no
19d ago78¢4.85bought no
23d ago81¢1.21bought yes
25d ago82¢1.64bought no
1mo ago78¢1.16bought no
1mo ago84¢0.58bought yes
1mo ago84¢0.58bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.