music report·closes in 15mo

Will you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love be #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard?

YES means you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

24h volume
7.81
2,713 lifetime
Open interest
2,099
+125 over 30d
Spread
100 × 97 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 6¢
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%+1

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 99¢
24h low 24h high
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask55543¢
  • ask12741¢
  • ask6839¢
  • ask10338¢
  • ask337¢
  • ask1234¢
  • ask10014¢
  • ask97
spreadmid
  • bid100
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love is ranked #1 on Luminate's 2026 Year-End Music Report: Top 10-Selling Albums of 2026 in U.S. (Physical & Digital Sales Combined), as Published by Billboard, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 26, 2027 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXMUSICREPORT-TOPSALE27DEC31-YOU
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 101¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago7.81bought yes
7d ago48bought yes
8d ago117bought yes
2mo ago16¢12bought yes
2mo ago20¢1bought yes
2mo ago20¢2bought yes
2mo ago19¢9bought yes
2mo ago14¢83bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.